Up to $1,000 in Bonus Bets. Rahm or Rory at Bay Hill. DFS Golf News. The DFS price at $7,200 is more than fair, and projected ownership doesnt look to be over the top yet, so Im a full go on Steele at TPC Scottsdale. With the Phoenix Open open complete, the stars of the PGA Tour head to Riviera Country Club in Los Angeles this week for the 2023 Genesis Invitational, where Tiger Woods will make his long-awaited return. Mix in the fact hes gone fifth-eighth-15th-13th in his last four starts at API and youve got the recipe for a Florida Swing heater. Sanderson Farms Championship: Sam Burns. Its even more encouraging to see that Conners has found early success on these greens, gaining strokes putting in two of his first three appearances at this event. Golf betting record in 2023 through Honda:12-27-1, -3.234 units (0-8 on outrights, 0.5 unit bets | +0.98 units at Honda)One-and-Done record in 2023: $1,523,924.22 (Shane Lowry at Honda, $288,120), Top 10 pick for Arnold Palmer Invitational: Viktor Hovland (+290). Theres been an interesting trend at the API over the past few years. Were getting value based on Rorys slow start on the West Coast, which was mainly short-game induced. Hes also top-30 in scoring on par 3s longer than 200 yards and par-4s over 500 yards, two huge buckets here at Bay Hill. The list of past champions and regular contenders is littered with those who have steadily contended in Majors, THE PLAYERS, or Ryder Cup and Presidents Cup atmospheres. Sungjae Im is one of the few players in this field who is teeing it up for the fourth week in a row. Gdula: Tony Finau (+240, FanDuel) Its such a good field that even the top 10 will be hard for long shots to squeeze into with much success. Additionally, Youngs short game has been in the toilet since the calendar flipped to 2023. Kings vs. Thunder prediction and odds for Tuesday, February 28 (Fade OKC again), MLB rumors: Gavin Lux, Manny Machado, insider info on 2 recent free-agent signings, Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 tee times, field, purse, odds and how to watch, LIV Golf Ratings Hold Steady at Horrid For Final Round of LIV Mayakoba, Honda Classic purse 2023: Payout by player, finishing position [Updated], Honda Classic live bets and odds ahead of Round 3, Its about time for a PGA-LPGA team event. Yes, this is a tough field, but Lowry is not the type you write off in these spots. Its yet another elevated event on the PGA Tourso its dangerous to put our chips down on one name over 20-1, but thats what were doing. Stats pulled across Last 36 Rounds unless otherwise noted. PGA TOUR Golf Sleepers: 4 Potential WM Phoenix Open Longshot Picks Golf News Written By John Haslbauer on February 7, 2023 The greatest party in golf is Sara Perlman and Drew Dinsick are here with Bet the EDGE powered by PointsBet Monday-Friday to arm you with all of the actionable information you need to wager with confidence. Learn about the best sports betting sites. Now, McDonald has sifted through the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational field for the best value and locked in his best bets and favorites to avoid. OVC Tournament Odds: Just How Vulnerable Is Morehead State? One and Done Pick for Arnold Palmer Invitational: Jon Rahm. Phone (s): (541) 454-2000. For now, well assume equal playing conditions for the full field when determining top value plays until more information becomes available on tee times and Thursday/Friday weather reports. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. I always thought the wrap-around-a-lake par-5 sixth was Dick Wilson's version of Robert Trent Jones's decade-older 13th at The Dunes Club at Myrtle Beach. The Arnold Palmer Invitational The Wake Forest star remains one of the best drivers of the ball on long golf courses, as well as one of the best long iron players in the field. A graduate at Syracuse University, John works out of Jersey City as a Director of Media Strategy for HBO and HBO Max. 1 Jon Rahm leads a stacked field that includes 23 of the top 25 players in the Official World Golf Ranking. After missing the cut at the WM Phoenix Open, Tommy Fleetwood tied for 20th at the Genesis Invitational in his last start. For the third straight week, one of our experts has cashed a winner, the latest being Christopher Powers, who tipped Chris Kirk at 30-1 to win the Honda Classic. With that said, the below plays still offer great value in the placement betting market. The event tees off Thursday, and Rahm is the 7-1 favorite in the latest 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds from Caesars Sportsbook. The PGA Tour's best will be back at it this week at Bay Hill Club & Lodge near Orlando, Fla., for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. I dont think he can make enough putts to contend. Arnold Palmer Invitational: Odds, expert picks to win, Keith Mitchell hits from the fourth hole tee during the third round of The Genesis Invitational golf tournament. Im going all in on the course horses this week, especially those at a discount. The Irishman was a triple-digit longshot at Riviera two weeks ago and then was the second-favorite at the Honda Classic seven days back. Bet with your head, not over it. MLB Odds: Braves 2B Ozzie Albies A Most Hits Longshot Candidate? And while hes only played in two PGA Tour events this season (29th at the Sentry Tournament of Champions and T21 at the Sony Open), Scott had a solid year last season, missing only two cuts in 20 tries and collecting five top-10s, four of which were top-5s. Standing just under 7,500 yards, Bay Hill presents similar challenges we come to expect in a major championship venue. At the British Open, four of Holliman's picks finished in the top eight, including Dustin Johnson (35-1) and Tommy Fleetwood (35-1). Finau has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he's a target for Top 100 Courses in the U.S.: GOLFs all-new 2022-23 ranking is here! 1 Jon Rahm leads a stacked field that includes 23 of the top 25 players in the Official World Golf Ranking. The short game wont be an issue, and with the expected blustery conditions, Fleetwood is primed to notch his fourth top 10 at Bay Hill in seven starts. (Photo by Luke Walker/Getty Images), Back Shohei Ohtani, Japan in World Baseball Classic futures market. Houston Open: Aaron Wise. Click on the odds anywhere below to bet now on the best available prices in your state. 2023 Minute Media - All Rights Reserved. With the Phoenix Open open complete, the stars of the PGA Tour head to Riviera Country Club in Los Angeles this week for the 2023 Genesis Invitational, where A former two-time intern, he also helps keep GOLF.com humming outside the news-breaking stories and service content provided by our reporters and writers, and works with the tech team in the development of new products and innovative ways to deliver an engaging site to our audience. Scheffler won last year at 5 under, beating Viktor Hovland, Tyrrell Hatton and Billy Horschel and by one stroke. GOLF.com and GOLF Magazine are published by EB GOLF MEDIA LLC, a division of 8AM GOLF, Former Masters champ is our long-shot bet in LA: 2023 Genesis Invitational odds, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational tee times: Round 1 groupings for Thursday, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational: How to watch, TV schedule, streaming, tee times, Absolutely horrendous: Xander Schauffele explains Bay Hills juicy rough, Meet the new GOLF Top 100 Teachers of America, Is a 7-wood, 3-hybrid or 3-iron most suitable for your game? Gdula: Sungjae Im (-108) over Tyrrell Hatton (FanDuel) Both have played well at Bay Hill, and the long-term tee-to-green data favors Im, so thats where Im going. Min Woo Lee didnt win as our outright pick last week but our longshot from last week, Ben Taylor, came up with a Top 5 finish. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Cam Davis. Mayakoba: Viktor Hovland. McIlroy is intimately familiar with Bay Hill, though, as a past champion (2018) and with no finish worse than T13 in the past five starts here. Golf News Written By John Haslbauer on February 28, 2023 For the third time in four weeks, all of the PGA TOURs best have assembled for an elevated event, He lost more than seven strokes putting in his latest start. Hoffmans four top-15 finishes at the Arnold Palmer Invitational over the last five years are especially notable. Fax: (541) 454-2753. Hes a major champion, a WGC winner (remember those?) Scotts last four starts at Riviera look like this: T4, T38, 1 and T7. Just a few weeks after going off at +2800 at the WM Phoenix Open another tournament with an elite field on a challenging course Kim is sitting at +5000 for the Arnold Palmer Invitational. Wind proved a decisive factor in the 2022 outcome of the Arnold Palmer and should be monitored closely ahead of tee off on Thursday. 1 Jon Rahm will continue their battle for the top spot. Kirk will take home the top Like comment Flip Farmers: Will Zalatoris. But before we down our tools for the week, look at the odds of the most recent winners of the Genesis Invitational. Hes riding a super-hot putter and is the most overvalued of the favorites, per my model. Up to $1,250 on Caesars. WebThe 9-hole China Creek Golf Course in Arlington, OR is a municipal golf course that opened in 2003. Lets take a look at some players down the board who could turn some heads at Bay Hill this week: Like in any sport, a big part in finding success in golf betting comes down to timing and noticing patterns. Rick Gehman is the founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. Rory McIlroy has become a horse at The Kings place, finishing 13th or better in seven of eight appearances. Wish it wouldve been his win at the Genesis but I still think he has win equity again this week and Im ready to burn him as a OaD play this week at Bay Hill. Youll likely know pretty quickly with Kim, either hes making everything or nothing. The Masters - Golf: Long shots have serious Augusta chances. Obviously, we still have the 90/1 Luke List winner to fall back on. But its easy to see why we all like Z this week. Gdula also co-hosts the DFS Heat Check podcast. Weve been on a heater in the matchup and top-10 markets, going up more than 27 units this season. McDonald NAILED the Farmers Insurance Open, backing Homa (25-1) as his top choice! Genesis: Justin Thomas. Arlington, Oregon 97812. There are no weaknesses in his game, but perhaps this is a letdown spot and a chance for us to finally get some value on someone down the board (please)? Gdula: Max Homa (20-1, FanDuel) I hate rooting against Max, but his odds are to the point where hes shorter than a lot of names Id rather take. In just his second year on TOUR, Pendrith has already accumulated 13 top-25 finishes, which span across comp courses like PGA National, Winged Foot and Torrey Pines. All of that makes Scott a great long shot pick this week. The course sets up for Rory as a drawer and bomber. The Wake Forest connection with Arnold Palmer is obvious, but more so, hes very much like Rory in that hes a bomber who likes to move it from right to left. Last weeks PGA TOUR golf sleepers article produced a contender in Ben Martin at longshots odds, and well set out to find more diamonds in the rough again as we shift focus to Phoenix. AT&T Pebble Beach: Maverick McNealy. Golf News Written By John Haslbauer on February 28, 2023 For the third time in four weeks, all of the PGA TOURs best have assembled for an elevated event, this time in Orlando for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. Adam Scott has a stellar career record at the Genesis Invitational. Final DraftKings Picks PGA DFS Lineups - The Honda Classic Invitational Daily Fantasy Golf Advice (Premium Content) LIV Golf Betting Picks - 2023 Mayakoba. The expert finished the 2021-22 season up 42 units on his outrights, including a MONSTER 250-1 payout on Hudson Swafford at The American Express. If its a loaded field and Will Zalatoris is betting, Im going to look for ways to get him on my card. Mitchells ball-striking should put him in the mix here, and I love the Bermuda putting splits. RSM Classic: Brian Harman. No, he is not a tout. Gilliam County. 9 this week. In terms of pure value, youd be hard pressed to find a better bet on the board than the former Masters champion. Defending tournament champion Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy and current No. You can see the top 20 in Genesis Invitational betting odds as of Monday afternoon at the bottom of this post, or head over to BetMGM to see the full list of odds and bets for this week. As the Florida swing continues, the PGA Tour heads to Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando for the Arnold Patrick Cantlay, Justin Thomas and Tony Finau are the only other players under +3000. One of the shortest hitters on TOUR, hell enjoy the added distance boost in store at elevation in TPC Scottsdales firm and fast conditions. No, he is not a tout. The list of top performers at the Arnold Palmer Invitational reads like a list of major champions and annual major contenders. World No. Since the start of the season, hes gaining 1.86 strokes per roundthird to only Jon Rahm and Scottie Scheffler. A graduate at Syracuse University, John works out of Jersey City as a Director of Media Strategy for HBO and HBO Max. He lost three strokes on approach at Riviera, a trend that has become more common for him than in any other point in his career. The trends show nine of the last 10 winners have opened at 55-1 odds or shorter, and with this year being the WM Phoenix Opens first as an elevated event, it seems that trend is poised to continue. McIlroy has gained strokes putting at Bay Hill in four of his past five trips, which has translated to one win, four top-10s and no finish worse than T-13. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Sahith Theegala. Christopher Powers, Golf Digest staff writer: Collin Morikawa (21-1, FanDuel) As much as Id love to make this a consensus Willy Z week, I have to stick with The PGA Tour's best will be back at it this week at Bay Hill Club & Lodge near Orlando, Fla., for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. The PGA Tour board on Tuesday night ratified a radical new approach for the 2024 schedule, Golfweek has confirmed. Shop the best odds for PGA TOUR golf sleepers and more highly-touted players across sportsbooks here, including for top 10, top 20, etc. McIlroy vs. Scheffler, a loaded LPGA field and more to watch in golf this week. Getting cheeky with these parlays hasnt been profitable but this one feels too good to pass up. McIlroy hasnt had his best stuff over the past two weeks, while Rahm has won five times in last eight starts. Not great when the conditions may call for a grinder. Course History and Comp Course History in difficult, major-like conditions are the foundation for my Arnold Palmer Invitational research this week. The faster the greens and harder the course the better chance Zalatoris has of victory. But before we down our tools for the week, look at the odds of the most recent winners of the Genesis Invitational. I think in what has been a battle of titans early in the year, Rory puts his hat in the ring with a win. None of us trade notes before the week but weve all arrived at the same conclusion in regards to a particular Wake Forest Demon Deacon at an event with the most iconic Wake Forest alum in the tournament name. As well as contributing to Golf Digest, Andy is also a data analyst and writer for RickRunGood.com, where he covers PGA Tour betting and daily fantasy. Full Leaderboard . Most of the games elite players opted out of the Honda, but they are back in a big way for the API. And which golfer in the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field could bring a massive payday of well over 80-1? American Express: Cameron Young. Top-10 Tony has four top-10 finishes in his past seven starts and seven top-20s in that span. But, the combination of trending tee-to-green play and elite course history make him a very appealing salary saver option on DraftKings this week. That may not sound like much, but for this price, that combination of tee-to-green consistency and course history prowess make a great formula for a top-40 push. Since a second-place finish at the Farmers Insurance Open, Keegan Bradley has tied for 20th at the WM Phoenix Open and missed the weekend at Riviera thanks to an opening-round 75. I expect the scale to tip back in McIlroys favor this week, who has never finished worse than 27th, with three top fives and a win in eight appearances at Bay Hill. The PGA Tour's best will be back at it this week at Bay Hill Club & Lodge near Orlando, Fla., for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Joaquin Niemann, Max Homa, J.B. Holmes and Bubba Watson four of the last five champions at Riviera were priced at 50/1 or longer, with Holmes available at 140/1 in some places. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. Having missed only one cut over the last calendar year, Pendrith will be on my outright card and a core DFS play for me this week. Although his history at Bay Hill isnt extensive, he did finish T-24 here in 2020, his lone start. After starting out the season on a high note, the two-time PGA Tour winner looked downright beat the past two weeks, failing to finish inside the top-40 in back-to-back weeks. Hes now gained 2+ strokes from tee-to-green in three consecutive events, and is only one start removed from a T14 finish in his latest elevated event appearance at the WM Phoenix Open. That set up is not especially conducive to betting longshots, however there are still high upside sleepers in this field worth consideration for placement bets and your DFS lineups. Its a good number if nothing else. Prior to Hovland, Mayakoba has been a week for middle- to longshots. RSM Classic: Brendon Todd. Given that he also has a win and a T2 in his past three starts here, I think he asserts himself on the leaderboard this week. He also suits the developing narrative set by Justin Rose last week, as a consistent veteran who is beginning to trend in 2023 (four consecutive top-25s) and in search of his first win since 2019. RSM Classic: Davis Riley. I expect the Japanese superstar to remind us that he is still a top-20 player in the world and have a great chance to pick up PGA Tour victory No. 2022 Farmers Insurance Open: Longshot of the week As mentioned before, major winners can be found throughout the field this week. Amongst the options at $7K or below this week, Putnam would have to be my choice as the safest bet to find the weekend in Scottsdale. Its worth noting that Day has played more rounds than both of those guys. Prior to that debacle, Bradley has five top-25 finishes in his previous seven startsincluding a win at the ZOZO Championship. At Bay Hill, course history has proven more repeatable than just about any other course on the PGA TOUR schedule. Hoffman will assuredly not find himself on my outright card this week. Masters: Wanna play Augusta National? Brandon Gdula, FanDuel/numberFire managing editor: Xander Schauffele (24-1, FanDuel) Bay Hill is a demanding test overall, and Schauffele has an all-around game thats as good as anyones. Matchup Results from the Honda Classic: Caddie: 1 for 1 (Griffin (+130) over Frittelli and O Hair, Round 1); Mayo: 1 for 1 (Meronk (+105) over C. Davis); Gehman: 1 for 1 (M.W. Our outright panelwhich consists of a caddie reporting anonymously from the grounds at Bay Hill; Pat Mayo of DraftKings and FantasyNational.com; Brandon Gdula of numberFire/FanDuel; Rick Gehman of RickRunGood.com; Andy Lack of RRG and his Inside Golf Podcast; and your two authorsis all aboard the Willy Z train. Gehman: Rory McIlroy Remember, these elevated events have replaced majors as the biggest purses in golf. The odds leap from there as Max Homa (+2000), Collin Morikawa (+2100) and Will Zalatoris (+2100) round out the top-six. Woods has never won at Riviera and enters the week at 150/1. The greatest party in golf is here this week as we continue our handicapping of 2023 WM Phoenix Open odds, AKA Wasted Management, AKA The Peoples Open at TPC Scottsdale. Shane Lowry of Ireland tees off on the 3rd hole during the continuation of Round Two on Day Three of the Hero Dubai Desert Classic at Emirates Lowry is built to grind out tough events, is good in the wind and loves himself a challenging course. Jon Rahm is the betting favorite this week at +700, just ahead of Rory McIlroy at +950 and Scottie Scheffler at +1000. Although Willy Z has been pretty brutal on the greens in his career, his lag putting has been notably good, and a great fit for the giant greens, while his short game remains quite underrated. From 2012 to 2019, it took double-digits under par to win the event, but the last three winners were Tyrrell Hatton at 4-under, Bryson DeChambeau at 11-under and Scheffler at 5-under. Anyone who follows McDonald's advice has been cashing in! Zozo: Sungjae Im. and he won the 2022 BMW PGA Championship over Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm, who both happen to be in the field this week. The odds arent pretty, but my gut tells me that either Rory McIlroy or Jon Rahm is winning at Arnies place this week and Im going with the slightly better odds. Before you lock in any 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, make sure you check out the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from golf insider Patrick McDonald. Sentry TOC: Cameron Young. But we have our eyes on another former Masters champ as our long-shot bet to win. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop," where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy lineups. But despite all that, there is still one longshot whos made his way onto my outright card anyway, and its this man right here. Im not going to stand here and pretend Im not terrified of Luke Lists putting prospects this week, considering he has now gone 18 consecutive events since he last gained on the greens. The British Open will be played this week for the first time since 2019. Now its Rorys turn. Kim has already shown flashes of greatness in his career, so dont be afraid to back the 20-year-old at a number like this even in a dynamite field. Hennessey: Keith Mitchell This is a bolder call, but I can afford to be a little bold after getting a win from Chris Kirk last week. Sony Open: Matt Kuchar. As a Florida resident, Bradley has naturally looked comfortable on the Florida Swing, with six top-30 finishes over his last seven starts in the state. Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. In a field as top-heavy as this one with so many elite options, a safe, high floor value player is going to be a must for DFS lineup construction purposes. It will be the final major of 2021 and the last of the six comprising the 2020-21 PGA Tour We provide this information about sports betting for entertainment purposes only. While Fowler didnt pull off the victory, he played quite well, outperforming his long odds to finish the tournament at 10 under, nine shots off Scottie Schefflers winning score and good enough for a T10, which means if you bet on him to finish in the top 10 as we did, you made a little money. For us this week, that man is Adam Scott. One of the TOURs most iconic stops, Colonial is a par 70 Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational props, odds, picks, field: Golf expert 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational One and Done picks, sleepers, purse: 2023 Puerto Rico Open odds, picks: Proven golf model reveals projected 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, odds, Fantasy golf power Join SportsLine right now to see Patrick McDonald's top picks for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, all from the expert up more than $2,000 for the 2022-23 season, and find out. McIlroy (19-2) and Scheffler (11-1) also are top contenders in the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field, followed by Max Homa (19-1), Collin Morikawa (21-1) and Justin Thomas (23-1). We hate touts. Should he pull off a victory, he could turn a $10 bet into $550. Sony Open: Gary Woodland. Skip to navigation. Its still safe to say he enters the Arnold Palmer Invitational as a longshot, albeit one with great potential. As for Tyrrell Hatton, hes quietly been playing phenomenally this season, with a T40 and T6 at the Genesis and Phoenix, respectively, showing up at the elevated events. follow. Justin Thomas enters play in the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard at Bay Hill Club & Lodge with +2500 odds to win after a 20th-place (Photo: Brian Rothmuller/Icon Sportswire via AP Images). He is a passionate golf fan, golf writer, and (casual) golfer. An impressive 44 of the top 50 players in the Official World Golf Rankings are set to tee off at Bay Hill on Thursday. Arnold Palmer Invitational pres. Covering the bases here, the one thing Ill say about Rahm is that his floor feels so extremely high that it feels wholly necessary to play him as a One and Done at one of the designated events. Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem. Robby Shelton finished T21 as a heartbreaker for our Top 20 bet but we were strong in hitting Shane Lowry as a Top 10 and Lowry over Sungjae Im in a matchup. The Twitter handle is a joke. He hosts Inside Golf, a twice weekly podcast focused on the PGA Tour, betting, daily fantasy, golf course architecture, and interviews, as part of the BlueWire podcast network. Brandon Gdula, managing editor and analyst for NumberFire, a FanDuel daily-fantasy analysis company, recently won the 2018 FSWA Golf Writer of the Year. One of these golfers "has been experiencing a massive resurgence," the expert says, and this course is right up his alley. Debacle, Bradley has five top-25 finishes in his last four starts at API and youve got the for! Its a loaded field and more to watch in golf this week Palmer Invitational over the last years... Mix in the Official World golf Ranking and top-10 markets, going up more than 27 this! 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